Proprietary performance-pressure index
View methodologyCFB Intel Hot Seat
How strongly does each FBS program’s measurable performance profile resemble a program under coaching pressure?
Pressure, not prediction.The score is not a probability of firing and does not claim to measure private university decisions.
SHPhil LongoSam Houston76
Warm · No change
Heating UpHTimmy ChangHawai'i72
Warming Up · ↑10 this week
Cooling OffBCBill O'BrienBoston College54
Warming Up · ↓10 this week
2026 · Week 10
HOT_SEAT_V1_3FBS Head Coach Rankings
1SHPhil LongoSam Houston · 2nd season at school76
Expectation —Trend 99Talent 56
2UMBryant VincentUL Monroe · 3rd season at school74
Expectation —Trend 90Talent 52
3RScott AbellRice · 2nd season at school74
Expectation —Trend 83Talent 66
4SFran BrownSyracuse · 3rd season at school74
Expectation —Trend 86Talent 92
5GTBrent KeyGeorgia Tech · 5th season at school73
Expectation —Trend 90Talent 79
6CDeion SandersColorado · 4th season at school73
Expectation —Trend 87Talent 70
7TAMike ElkoTexas A&M · 3rd season at school72
Expectation —Trend 87Talent 95
8AJoe MoorheadAkron · 5th season at school72
Expectation —Trend 90Talent 59
9UScotty WaldenUTEP · 3rd season at school72
Expectation —Trend 69Talent 76
10HTimmy ChangHawai'i · 5th season at school72
Expectation —Trend 100Talent 63
11MMike LocksleyMaryland · 8th season at school70
Expectation —Trend 59Talent 89
12RGreg SchianoRutgers · 7th season at school70
Expectation —Trend 62Talent 92
13MTony GibsonMarshall · 2nd season at school69
Expectation —Trend 92Talent 61
14IBret BielemaIllinois · 6th season at school69
Expectation —Trend 83Talent 78
15DRyan CartyDelaware · 2nd season at school67
Expectation —Trend 100Talent 37
16ASKenny DillinghamArizona State · 4th season at school67
Expectation —Trend 87Talent 96
17KLance LeipoldKansas · 6th season at school66
Expectation —Trend 77Talent 51
18ODRicky RahneOld Dominion · 7th season at school66
Expectation —Trend 92Talent 49
19CTim AlbinCharlotte · 2nd season at school65
Expectation —Trend 56Talent 67
20VClark LeaVanderbilt · 6th season at school64
Expectation —Trend 95Talent 81
21NSDave DoerenNC State · 14th season at school63
Expectation —Trend 58Talent 100
22ODan LanningOregon · 5th season at school63
Expectation —Trend 83Talent 79
23TSteve SarkisianTexas · 6th season at school62
Expectation —Trend 82Talent 79
24WKTyson HeltonWestern Kentucky · 8th season at school61
Expectation —Trend 67Talent 75
25SMBlake AndersonSouthern Miss · 2nd season at school61
Expectation —Trend 75Talent 71
26ASButch JonesArkansas State · 6th season at school60
Expectation —Trend 77Talent 54
27TSonny DykesTCU · 5th season at school60
Expectation —Trend 80Talent 39
28WJedd FischWashington · 3rd season at school60
Expectation —Trend 63Talent 68
29VTony ElliottVirginia · 5th season at school59
Expectation —Trend 57Talent 82
30OBrent VenablesOklahoma · 5th season at school59
Expectation —Trend 66Talent 65
31FSMike NorvellFlorida State · 7th season at school59
Expectation —Trend 35Talent 100
32TK.C. KeelerTemple · 2nd season at school59
Expectation —Trend 52Talent 63
33CSJim MoraColorado State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 83Talent 89
34NIRob HarleyNorthern Illinois · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 100Talent 54
35SCShane BeamerSouth Carolina · 6th season at school58
Expectation —Trend 60Talent 69
36ARyan SilverfieldArkansas · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 43Talent 100
37WVRich RodriguezWest Virginia · 2nd season at school57
Expectation —Trend 45Talent 100
38WSKirby MooreWashington State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 96Talent 71
39UDan MullenUNLV · 2nd season at school57
Expectation —Trend 68Talent 68
40KSJerry MackKennesaw State · 2nd season at school56
Expectation —Trend 98Talent 37
41BGEddie GeorgeBowling Green · 2nd season at school56
Expectation —Trend 55Talent 61
42BSMike UremovichBall State · 2nd season at school56
Expectation —Trend 49Talent 54
43STavita PritchardStanford · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 42Talent 91
44CTosh LupoiCalifornia · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 48Talent 100
45BCBill O'BrienBoston College · 3rd season at school54
Expectation —Trend 39Talent 65
46SSAlonzo CarterSacramento State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 89Talent 67
47CMMatt DrinkallCentral Michigan · 2nd season at school53
Expectation —Trend 55Talent 41
48PSMatt CampbellPenn State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 100Talent 68
49CDabo SwinneyClemson · 19th season at school51
Expectation —Trend 50Talent 78
50KSMark CarneyKent State · 2nd season at school51
Expectation —Trend 37Talent 49
51TGerad ParkerTroy · 3rd season at school51
Expectation —Trend 48Talent 54
52MSPat FitzgeraldMichigan State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 69Talent 51
53GSClay HeltonGeorgia Southern · 5th season at school49
Expectation —Trend 60Talent 32
54USBronco MendenhallUtah State · 2nd season at school49
Expectation —Trend 53Talent 18
55MP.J. FleckMinnesota · 10th season at school48
Expectation —Trend 40Talent 84
56SDSSean LewisSan Diego State · 3rd season at school48
Expectation —Trend 43Talent 60
57DManny DiazDuke · 3rd season at school48
Expectation —Trend 68Talent 24
58FSMatt EntzFresno State · 2nd season at school48
Expectation —Trend 63Talent 20
59LJeff BrohmLouisville · 4th season at school47
Expectation —Trend 58Talent 46
60ASDowell LoggainsApp State · 2nd season at school47
Expectation —Trend 21Talent 69
61MSCasey WoodsMissouri State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 81Talent 62
62NBrian NewberryNavy · 4th season at school47
Expectation —Trend 100Talent 0
63TSG.J. KinneTexas State · 4th season at school46
Expectation —Trend 57Talent 22
64BPete LemboBuffalo · 3rd season at school46
Expectation —Trend 48Talent 49
65AKalen DeBoerAlabama · 3rd season at school46
Expectation —Trend 57Talent 50
66NJeff ChoateNevada · 3rd season at school46
Expectation —Trend 31Talent 28
67NCBill BelichickNorth Carolina · 2nd season at school46
Expectation —Trend 11Talent 72
68FIWillie SimmonsFlorida International · 2nd season at school46
Expectation —Trend 44Talent 46
69SRhett LashleeSMU · 5th season at school46
Expectation —Trend 47Talent 68
70CCRyan BeardCoastal Carolina · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 72Talent 59
71MEli DrinkwitzMissouri · 7th season at school45
Expectation —Trend 52Talent 43
72UScott FrostUCF · 2nd season at school45
Expectation —Trend 34Talent 46
73NDMarcus FreemanNotre Dame · 6th season at school45
Expectation —Trend 50Talent 46
74M(Chuck MartinMiami (OH) · 13th season at school45
Expectation —Trend 56Talent 41
75PPat NarduzziPittsburgh · 12th season at school44
Expectation —Trend 42Talent 46
76GKirby SmartGeorgia · 11th season at school44
Expectation —Trend 48Talent 54
77VTJames FranklinVirginia Tech · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 17Talent 85
78ECBlake HarrellEast Carolina · 3rd season at school44
Expectation —Trend 71Talent 42
79CScott SatterfieldCincinnati · 4th season at school44
Expectation —Trend 40Talent 45
80AAlex GoleshAuburn · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 14Talent 76
81KSCollin KleinKansas State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 57Talent 63
82PBarry OdomPurdue · 2nd season at school43
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 78
83NMSTony SanchezNew Mexico State · 3rd season at school42
Expectation —Trend 34Talent 35
84ICurt CignettiIndiana · 3rd season at school42
Expectation —Trend 65Talent 24
85ISJimmy RogersIowa State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 84Talent 49
86NMatt RhuleNebraska · 4th season at school41
Expectation —Trend 30Talent 49
87TWill HallTulane · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 83Talent 59
88MKyle WhittinghamMichigan · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 66Talent 62
89OMPete GoldingOle Miss · 2nd season at school40
Expectation —Trend 48Talent 54
90SFBrian HartlineSouth Florida · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 56Talent 64
91EMChris CreightonEastern Michigan · 13th season at school40
Expectation —Trend 17Talent 65
92UJason CandleUConn · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 84Talent 52
93MTDerek MasonMiddle Tennessee · 3rd season at school39
Expectation —Trend 18Talent 50
94IKirk FerentzIowa · 28th season at school38
Expectation —Trend 36Talent 51
95FJon SumrallFlorida · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 21Talent 69
96SJSKen NiumataloloSan José State · 3rd season at school38
Expectation —Trend 20Talent 42
97AJeff MonkenArmy · 13th season at school38
Expectation —Trend 50Talent 19
98OSRyan DayOhio State · 9th season at school37
Expectation —Trend 45Talent 50
99BDave ArandaBaylor · 7th season at school37
Expectation —Trend 31Talent 44
100TTre LambTulsa · 2nd season at school37
Expectation —Trend 17Talent 39
101ULincoln RileyUSC · 5th season at school35
Expectation —Trend 23Talent 63
102TJosh HeupelTennessee · 6th season at school35
Expectation —Trend 32Talent 51
103LMichael DesormeauxLouisiana · 6th season at school34
Expectation —Trend 43Talent 11
104JSCharles KellyJacksonville State · 2nd season at school32
Expectation —Trend 38Talent 39
105MSJeff LebbyMississippi State · 3rd season at school32
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 49
106LLane KiffinLSU · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 43Talent 46
107WMLance TaylorWestern Michigan · 4th season at school31
Expectation —Trend 26Talent 30
108FAZach KittleyFlorida Atlantic · 2nd season at school30
Expectation —Trend 7Talent 41
109UAlex MortensenUAB · 2nd season at school30
Expectation —Trend 6Talent 39
110OSEric MorrisOklahoma State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 30
111WLuke FickellWisconsin · 5th season at school29
Expectation —Trend 8Talent 39
112GSDell McGeeGeorgia State · 3rd season at school28
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 14
113MJoe HarasymiakMassachusetts · 2nd season at school27
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 16
114BSSpencer DanielsonBoise State · 4th season at school27
Expectation —Trend 38Talent 13
115SAMajor ApplewhiteSouth Alabama · 3rd season at school27
Expectation —Trend 7Talent 41
116OJohn HauserOhio · 2nd season at school27
Expectation —Trend 43Talent 1
117WJay SawvelWyoming · 3rd season at school26
Expectation —Trend 3Talent 32
118KWill SteinKentucky · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 52
119MMario CristobalMiami · 5th season at school25
Expectation —Trend 21Talent 49
120UJeff TraylorUTSA · 7th season at school24
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 41
121ABrent BrennanArizona · 3rd season at school24
Expectation —Trend 11Talent 16
122MCharles HuffMemphis · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 50Talent 23
123NDavid BraunNorthwestern · 4th season at school23
Expectation —Trend 1Talent 19
124NTNeal BrownNorth Texas · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 28Talent 19
125TTJoey McGuireTexas Tech · 5th season at school22
Expectation —Trend 17Talent 38
126HWillie FritzHouston · 3rd season at school21
Expectation —Trend 11Talent 20
127AFTroy CalhounAir Force · 20th season at school21
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 0
128BKalani SitakeBYU · 11th season at school21
Expectation —Trend 30Talent 14
129LTSonny CumbieLouisiana Tech · 5th season at school20
Expectation —Trend 13Talent 0
130LJamey ChadwellLiberty · 4th season at school20
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 8
131OSJaMarcus ShephardOregon State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 6Talent 12
132TMike JacobsToledo · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 40Talent 1
133WFJake DickertWake Forest · 2nd season at school18
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 14
134NMJason EckNew Mexico · 2nd season at school17
Expectation —Trend 5Talent 0
135NDSTim PolasekNorth Dakota State · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 63Talent 0
136UBob ChesneyUCLA · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 37
137JMBilly NapierJames Madison · 1st season at school—
Expectation —Trend 18Talent 0
138UMorgan ScalleyUtah · 2nd season at school10
Expectation —Trend 0Talent 22
Football data: CollegeFootballData · Index calculations: CFB Intel HOT_SEAT_V1_3 · Fan polling contributes exactly 10% after 100 valid weekly votes.
