Expectations30%
—← Hot Seat rankingsWhy he’s here
U
Big Ten
Lincoln Riley
USC · 4–0 (1–0) · 5th season at school
Hot Seat Score31Secure↓4 this week
0 · Secure100 · Hot Seat
Transparent inputs
Component breakdown
Trajectory20%
27Current Results15%
0Talent Utilization15%
49Big Games10%
15Fans10%
50What the verified inputs show
USC's measurable performance profile is not showing a dominant pressure factor in the current model. Strong current results is reducing pressure.
Calculation audit
Why this score?
| Component | Raw metric | Score | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expectations | Expected wins unavailable | — | 30% | — |
| Trajectory | Three-season weighted program trend | 27.0 | 20% | 8.1 |
| Current Results | 4–0 overall · 1–0 conference | 0.0 | 15% | 0.0 |
| Talent Utilization | 94th talent percentile vs 95th performance percentile · CORE | 48.9 | 15% | 11.0 |
| Big Games | Bad losses 0 · ranked opponents 50 | 15.0 | 10% | 2.3 |
| Fans | 0% Yes · 0 votes | 50.0 | 10% | 5.0 |
Objective weights are redistributed proportionally only when an objective component is unavailable. Fan polling remains exactly 10% and uses a neutral 50 until its response threshold is met.
Displayed score
Hot Seat History
Weekly fan poll
Is Lincoln Riley on the hot seat?
Fan polling represents 10% of the CFB Intel Hot Seat Index. It does not determine whether a coach loses his job.
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0% Yes100% No0 votes
Poll awaiting minimum response threshold · 100 valid votes requiredFootball data: CollegeFootballData · Calculation: CFB Intel HOT_SEAT_V1_3 · Rankings and public labels use the final, context-adjusted score.