Expectations30%
—← Hot Seat rankingsWhy he’s here
MS
Big Ten
Pat Fitzgerald
Michigan State · 2–1 (0–0) · 1st season at school
Hot Seat Score—Insufficient Data60% objective data complete
First season at program
First-Year Adjustment Applied
First-year head coaches receive temporary score protection because they have had less time to influence the roster and overall condition of the program. The protection decreases as the season progresses.
- Raw Hot Seat Score
- 50
- First-Year Adjustment
- −25
- Final Hot Seat Score
- 25
Transparent inputs
Component breakdown
Trajectory20%
—Current Results15%
33Talent Utilization15%
64Big Games10%
55Fans10%
50What the verified inputs show
CFB Intel is withholding the public score until at least 70% of objective model inputs are available.
Calculation audit
Why this score?
| Component | Raw metric | Score | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expectations | Expected wins unavailable | — | 30% | — |
| Trajectory | Prior-coach trajectory excluded | — | 20% | — |
| Current Results | 2–1 overall · 0–0 conference | 33.3 | 15% | 11.3 |
| Talent Utilization | 56th talent percentile vs 42th performance percentile · CORE | 63.9 | 15% | 21.6 |
| Big Games | Bad losses 35 · ranked opponents 100 | 54.5 | 10% | 12.3 |
| Fans | 0% Yes · 0 votes | 50.0 | 10% | 5.0 |
Objective weights are redistributed proportionally only when an objective component is unavailable. Fan polling remains exactly 10% and uses a neutral 50 until its response threshold is met.
Displayed score
Hot Seat History
Weekly fan poll
Is Pat Fitzgerald on the hot seat?
Fan polling represents 10% of the CFB Intel Hot Seat Index. It does not determine whether a coach loses his job.
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0% Yes100% No0 votes
Poll awaiting minimum response threshold · 100 valid votes requiredFootball data: CollegeFootballData · Calculation: CFB Intel HOT_SEAT_V1_3 · Rankings and public labels use the final, context-adjusted score.