Tosh Lupoi
California · 2–1 (1–0) · 1st season at school
First-Year Adjustment Applied
First-year head coaches receive temporary score protection because they have had less time to influence the roster and overall condition of the program. The protection decreases as the season progresses.
- Raw Hot Seat Score
- 48
- First-Year Adjustment
- −24
- Final Hot Seat Score
- 27
Component breakdown
What the verified inputs show
CFB Intel is withholding the public score until at least 70% of objective model inputs are available.
Why this score?
| Component | Raw metric | Score | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expectations | Expected wins unavailable | — | 30% | — |
| Trajectory | Prior-coach trajectory excluded | — | 20% | — |
| Current Results | 2–1 overall · 1–0 conference | 20.0 | 15% | 6.7 |
| Talent Utilization | 77th talent percentile vs 34th performance percentile · CORE | 92.3 | 15% | 31.2 |
| Big Games | Bad losses 10 · ranked opponents 50 | 22.0 | 10% | 5.0 |
| Fans | 0% Yes · 0 votes | 50.0 | 10% | 5.0 |
Objective weights are redistributed proportionally only when an objective component is unavailable. Fan polling remains exactly 10% and uses a neutral 50 until its response threshold is met.
Hot Seat History
Is Tosh Lupoi on the hot seat?
Fan polling represents 10% of the CFB Intel Hot Seat Index. It does not determine whether a coach loses his job.
Football data: CollegeFootballData · Calculation: CFB Intel HOT_SEAT_V1_3 · Rankings and public labels use the final, context-adjusted score.
