Expectations30%
—← Hot Seat rankingsWhy he’s here
AS
Sun Belt
Butch Jones
Arkansas State · 1–2 (0–0) · 6th season at school
Hot Seat Score56Warming Up↓2 this week
0 · Secure100 · Hot Seat
Transparent inputs
Component breakdown
Trajectory20%
46Current Results15%
67Talent Utilization15%
70Big Games10%
31Fans10%
50What the verified inputs show
Arkansas State's measurable performance profile is not showing a dominant pressure factor in the current model.
Calculation audit
Why this score?
| Component | Raw metric | Score | Weight | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Expectations | Expected wins unavailable | — | 30% | — |
| Trajectory | Three-season weighted program trend | 46.0 | 20% | 13.8 |
| Current Results | 1–2 overall · 0–0 conference | 66.7 | 15% | 15.0 |
| Talent Utilization | 34th talent percentile vs 14th performance percentile · CORE | 70.0 | 15% | 15.7 |
| Big Games | Bad losses 23 · ranked opponents 50 | 30.8 | 10% | 4.6 |
| Fans | 0% Yes · 0 votes | 50.0 | 10% | 5.0 |
Objective weights are redistributed proportionally only when an objective component is unavailable. Fan polling remains exactly 10% and uses a neutral 50 until its response threshold is met.
Displayed score
Hot Seat History
Weekly fan poll
Is Butch Jones on the hot seat?
Fan polling represents 10% of the CFB Intel Hot Seat Index. It does not determine whether a coach loses his job.
Sign in to vote
0% Yes100% No0 votes
Poll awaiting minimum response threshold · 100 valid votes requiredFootball data: CollegeFootballData · Calculation: CFB Intel HOT_SEAT_V1_3 · Rankings and public labels use the final, context-adjusted score.