2026 current teams
Program History ComparisonHead-to-Head
Compare how two FBS teams are performing right now. For program history, use Team vs. Team.
Showing the latest available data.
Air Force
5–1 · Unranked
Mississippi State
4–2 · Unranked
Mississippi State by 5.0
Air Force · 30%Mississippi State · 70%
Projected Air Force 24 – Mississippi State 29. Expected total 52.8 points. No home-field adjustment.
At Air Force: 39% for Air Force · At Mississippi State: 78% for Mississippi State.
Current record5–14–2
Conference record3–12–2
AP Top 25 rank——
FPI-2.19.1
FPI rank#79#38
Points per game29.326.6
Total yards per game407.0454.3
Passing yards per game64.0277.8
Rushing yards per game343.0176.5
Yards per play——
Points allowed per game21.528.1
Total yards allowed per game——
Passing yards allowed per game——
Rushing yards allowed per game——
Yards allowed per play——
Turnover margin——
Third-down %——
Red-zone %——
Sacks8.015.0
Tackles for loss19.032.0
Overall Record5–14–2
Conference Record3–12–2
Strength of Record#49#20
Strength of Schedule#136#5
Remaining SOS#79#26
Game Control#94#33
Second-order wins——
Wins vs expected——
Average Win ProbabilityNot currently available——
Résumé data through Week 7 · Matches Stats & Info · View full Résumé →
How this is calculated
CFB Intel combines opponent-adjusted team strength, unit efficiency, current performance, and special teams. Ratings represent neutral-field strength. Home-field advantage is applied separately; missing inputs are excluded and the available group weights are renormalized. CFB_INTEL_MODEL_2026_V1.
Records, rankings, FPI, games, and team statistics: CollegeFootballData.