2026 current teams
Program History ComparisonHead-to-Head
Compare how two FBS teams are performing right now. For program history, use Team vs. Team.
Showing the latest available data.
Arkansas State
3–4 · Unranked
Southern Miss
1–5 · Unranked
Arkansas State by 6.5
Arkansas State · 75%Southern Miss · 25%
Projected Arkansas State 32 – Southern Miss 25. Expected total 56.9 points. No home-field adjustment.
At Arkansas State: 82% for Arkansas State · At Southern Miss: 34% for Southern Miss.
Current record3–41–5
Conference record1–20–2
AP Top 25 rank——
FPI-8.5-14.7
FPI rank#99#122
Points per game28.826.9
Total yards per game366.0394.5
Passing yards per game233.0260.8
Rushing yards per game133.0133.7
Yards per play——
Points allowed per game27.331.0
Total yards allowed per game——
Passing yards allowed per game——
Rushing yards allowed per game——
Yards allowed per play——
Turnover margin——
Third-down %——
Red-zone %——
Sacks3.014.0
Tackles for loss23.036.0
Overall Record3–41–5
Conference Record1–20–2
Strength of Record#112#131
Strength of Schedule#105#95
Remaining SOS#118#93
Game Control#98#131
Second-order wins——
Wins vs expected——
Average Win ProbabilityNot currently available——
Résumé data through Week 7 · Matches Stats & Info · View full Résumé →
How this is calculated
CFB Intel combines opponent-adjusted team strength, unit efficiency, current performance, and special teams. Ratings represent neutral-field strength. Home-field advantage is applied separately; missing inputs are excluded and the available group weights are renormalized. CFB_INTEL_MODEL_2026_V1.
Records, rankings, FPI, games, and team statistics: CollegeFootballData.